Reviewing the First Round Upsets of Men's March Madness 2025

Men's March Madness always feels like a rollercoaster, doesn’t it? One minute, you’re watching a top seed cruise to victory, and the next, a scrappy underdog flips the script, leaving everyone stunned. That’s the magic of men’s March Madness. First-round upsets? They’re the lifeblood of this tournament. Historically, we’ve seen an average of 4.7 first-round shockers each year. Remember 2016? Eight upsets in one round! Absolute chaos. And this year, 2025, has already delivered jaw-dropping moments. McNeese State’s Cinderella story and Kansas’s shocking exit? Oh, we’re just getting started.

Key Takeaways

  • McNeese State's big win over Clemson shows how wild March Madness can be.
  • Upsets in the first round happen often, about 5 each year, making games exciting.
  • Lower-ranked teams feel confident after early wins, leading to more surprises.
  • Coaches with lots of experience help their teams pull off more upsets.
  • Underdog wins show how the tournament is changing, with closer games now.
  • Kansas losing to Northern Kentucky shows why teams should never underestimate others.
  • Drake beating Miami proves 12-seeds can be tough and keep surprising everyone.
  • Anything can happen; the tournament's surprises keep fans excited for every game.

McNeese State Stuns Clemson in a Nail-Biter

Game Overview

What a game! McNeese State, a 15-seed, pulled off one of the most thrilling upsets in recent memory by defeating 2-seed Clemson, 69-67. This wasn’t just an upset—it was a statement. The Cowboys came out swinging, holding Clemson to a jaw-dropping 13 points in the first half. That’s the fewest first-half points scored by a top-5 seed since 1999. McNeese built a commanding 24-point lead at one point, leaving Clemson scrambling to catch up.

Clemson tried to rally late in the second half, but McNeese’s defense held firm. The Cowboys dominated the paint, scoring 44 points inside compared to Clemson’s 24. They also out-hustled Clemson on the boards, grabbing 18 offensive rebounds. Brandon Murray led the charge with 21 points, while Christian Shumate added 13 points and 11 rebounds. Clemson’s Jaeden Zackery put up a valiant 24 points, but it wasn’t enough to save the Tigers from an early exit.

Here’s a quick look at the key stats:

StatisticMcNeese StateClemson
First Half Points3113
Largest Lead24N/A
Paint Points4424
Offensive Rebounds1813
Blocks60

Key Moments That Defined the Upset

This game had everything—drama, grit, and a whole lot of heart. McNeese set the tone early, holding Clemson to just one basket over nearly eight minutes during a dominant 17-2 run. That stretch gave the Cowboys a lead they wouldn’t relinquish for the next 35 minutes. Clemson’s shooting woes were glaring, especially in the first half when they went 1-for-15 from beyond the arc.

The Tigers made a furious comeback attempt in the final minutes, cutting the lead to just two points. But McNeese’s defense stepped up when it mattered most. A clutch block in the final seconds sealed the deal, sending the Cowboys into the second round and fans into a frenzy.

Key MomentStatistic
McNeese's first halfHeld Clemson to 13 points
McNeese's lead durationLed for 35 minutes
Maximum lead24 points
Significant run17-2 run
Final scoreMcNeese 69, Clemson 67

Standout Performances

Brandon Murray was the star of the show. He dropped 21 points, including 14 in the first half, to give McNeese an early edge. His ability to score under pressure kept Clemson at bay. Christian Shumate was a force on the boards, grabbing 11 rebounds to go along with his 13 points. On the defensive end, McNeese’s shot-blocking was a game-changer, with six blocks compared to Clemson’s zero.

For Clemson, Jaeden Zackery and Chase Hunter did their best to keep the Tigers in the game. Zackery scored a game-high 24 points, while Hunter added 21. Viktor Lakhin also contributed with 10 rebounds, but the Tigers couldn’t overcome their poor shooting and McNeese’s relentless energy.

PlayerTeamPointsReboundsAssistsSteals
Brandon MurrayMcNeese21433
Christian ShumateMcNeese1311N/AN/A
Jaeden ZackeryClemson24N/AN/AN/A
Chase HunterClemson21N/AN/AN/A
Viktor LakhinClemsonN/A10N/AN/A

McNeese’s victory wasn’t just a win—it was a reminder of why we love men’s March Madness. The underdog spirit, the clutch plays, and the sheer unpredictability of it all make this tournament the best show in sports.


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Implications for the Tournament

What does McNeese State’s shocking win mean for the rest of the tournament? Oh, it’s not just about one game. This upset has sent ripples through the entire bracket, and I can’t stop thinking about the chaos it might unleash. Let’s break it down.

First, this win is a massive confidence booster for every underdog still in the fight. If a 15-seed like McNeese can topple a 2-seed, why can’t a 12-seed or even a 13-seed do the same? Historically, lower seeds have a knack for surprising us. Did you know that in the last 39 NCAA tournaments, No. 12 seeds have upset No. 5 seeds in all but six tournaments? That’s a trend that screams, “Expect the unexpected!”

Here’s a quick look at how these upsets stack up historically:

Seed MatchupFrequency of UpsetsNotable Examples
12 vs. 533 out of 39 yearsMiddle Tennessee (2016)
15 vs. 211 total upsetsMcNeese State (2025)
16 vs. 12 total upsetsUMBC (2018)

This isn’t just trivia—it’s a wake-up call for higher seeds. They can’t afford to underestimate anyone. Coaches will now spend sleepless nights rethinking their strategies, knowing that even a small lapse could spell disaster.

For McNeese, this win could be the start of something magical. Momentum is a powerful thing in men’s March Madness. Teams that pull off early upsets often ride that wave into deeper rounds. Remember Florida Gulf Coast in 2013? They went from a 15-seed to the Sweet 16, dunking their way into our hearts. McNeese might just be this year’s Cinderella.

Note: Lower-seeded teams thrive on momentum. This win could inspire them to play with even more grit and determination in the next round.

And let’s not forget the psychological impact on the favorites. Watching a fellow top seed fall can shake their confidence. They’ll feel the pressure to avoid the same fate, which might lead to tighter, more cautious play. That’s when mistakes happen. The tournament becomes a mental game as much as a physical one.

So, what’s next? I’m keeping my eyes on the 12-seeds. They’ve already proven to be giant killers in the past. And with McNeese’s win setting the tone, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see more bracket-busting surprises in the coming rounds. This is why we love men’s March Madness—it’s unpredictable, thrilling, and absolutely wild.


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Kansas Falls to [Opponent]: A Historic First-Round Exit

Game Overview

Kansas fans, brace yourselves. This one hurt. The Jayhawks, a 1-seed and perennial powerhouse, fell to 16-seed Northern Kentucky in a game that left everyone scratching their heads. The final score? 74-71. It wasn’t just the loss that shocked me—it was how it happened. Kansas looked out of sync from the start. They switched to a zone defense, something they rarely used all season, and it backfired spectacularly. Northern Kentucky exploited the gaps, draining three-pointers like they were shooting in an empty gym.

Kansas never found their rhythm. They trailed 17-0 in the second quarter, a deficit they couldn’t overcome. Adding to their woes, forward KJ Adams missed critical moments due to an injury. The Jayhawks’ inability to close out the game was the final nail in the coffin. For a team with championship aspirations, this was a nightmare.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the key stats that tell the story:

  • Northern Kentucky allowed 331 rushing yards, the highest since Deion Sanders became head coach in 2023.
  • Kansas fell behind 17-0 in the second quarter and couldn’t recover, showcasing a significant performance gap.

Key Moments That Defined the Upset

This game had more twists than a thriller novel. Northern Kentucky came out firing, hitting four three-pointers in the first five minutes. Kansas, meanwhile, couldn’t buy a bucket. Their zone defense left shooters wide open, and Northern Kentucky capitalized. By halftime, the Jayhawks were down by 12.

The second half brought hope. Kansas clawed their way back, cutting the lead to just one point with under a minute to play. But then, disaster struck. A costly turnover by Hunter Dickinson gave Northern Kentucky the ball with 15 seconds left. They hit two clutch free throws to seal the deal. Kansas had one last chance, but their final shot clanged off the rim. Game over.

Note: Kansas’s inability to hold a lead in the closing moments was a glaring issue. It’s rare to see a top seed crumble under pressure like this.

Standout Performances

Northern Kentucky’s players stepped up when it mattered most. Guard David Coit was electric, scoring 14 points and hitting three crucial three-pointers. On the other side, Kansas’s Hunter Dickinson tried to carry the team with 17 points and 12 rebounds, but his seven turnovers proved costly.

Here’s a closer look at the key player stats:

PlayerPointsReboundsTurnovers
Hunter Dickinson17127
KJ Adams Jr.15N/AN/A
David Coit14N/AN/A
Team TotalN/A1720

Northern Kentucky’s win wasn’t just an upset—it was a statement. They showed that even the biggest giants can fall in men’s March Madness. This game will go down as one of the most shocking results in tournament history.


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Implications for the Tournament

What a wild start to this year’s tournament! These first-round upsets have shaken the bracket like a snow globe, and I can’t stop thinking about the ripple effects. Let’s start with Kansas. Their shocking loss to Northern Kentucky wasn’t just a bad day at the office—it was a full-blown disaster. For the first time since 2000, Kansas finished worse than a No. 4 seed. That’s a 25-year streak snapped in one night. Ouch. This raises some big questions about their future. Is it a coaching issue? A problem with player development? Or maybe the pressure just got to them. Whatever the reason, this loss will haunt them for a while.

And what about the rest of the tournament? Kansas’s exit opens the door for other teams to step up. Northern Kentucky now has a golden opportunity to make a deep run. Remember UMBC in 2018? They didn’t just beat Virginia; they became legends. Northern Kentucky could follow in their footsteps. Plus, every other lower seed just got a confidence boost. If a 16-seed can take down a 1-seed, anything feels possible.

McNeese State’s win over Clemson adds even more chaos. A 15-seed knocking out a 2-seed is rare, but it’s not unheard of. What’s exciting is how this sets the tone for the rest of the tournament. Teams like McNeese thrive on momentum. They’ve got nothing to lose and everything to gain. That makes them dangerous. I wouldn’t be surprised if they pull off another upset in the next round.

Here’s what these upsets tell us:

  • Kansas’s struggles highlight potential issues with team dynamics and player development.
  • Lower seeds are playing with more confidence, making the tournament even more unpredictable.
  • Top seeds can’t afford to relax. One bad game, and they’re out.

This is why I love men’s march madness. It’s not just about the big names or the top seeds. It’s about the underdogs, the surprises, and the moments that make you jump out of your seat. With the way things are going, I wouldn’t be shocked if we see more bracket-busting surprises in the coming rounds. Buckle up—it’s going to be a wild ride!


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12-Seed Triumph

Game Overview

Drake University, a 12-seed, pulled off a stunning upset against 5-seed Miami, winning 72-68 in a game that had me on the edge of my seat. This wasn’t just a win—it was a masterclass in grit and determination. Drake’s Bulldogs came into this matchup with a chip on their shoulder, and boy, did they deliver. Miami, known for its high-octane offense, struggled to find its rhythm against Drake’s relentless defense.

Historically, 12-seeds have a reputation for being giant killers. Since 1985, they’ve racked up 55 wins against 5-seeds, boasting a respectable .353 winning percentage. Fun fact: all four No. 5 seeds have advanced in the same tournament only six times. Clearly, the odds were in Drake’s favor, and they made the most of it.

Here’s what stood out in this game:

  • Drake’s defense held Miami to just 39% shooting from the field.
  • The Bulldogs dominated the boards, out-rebounding Miami 42-30.
  • Tucker DeVries led the charge with 24 points, including four clutch three-pointers.

Drake’s victory wasn’t just about stats, though. It was about heart, hustle, and a refusal to back down. This game reminded me why I love March Madness—anything can happen.

Key Moments That Defined the Upset

This game had more twists and turns than a rollercoaster. Drake set the tone early, jumping out to a 12-2 lead in the first five minutes. Miami looked shell-shocked, missing their first six shots. The Bulldogs’ defense was suffocating, forcing Miami into tough, contested looks.

The turning point came midway through the second half. Miami had clawed back to take a one-point lead, and the momentum seemed to be shifting. But then, Tucker DeVries happened. He hit back-to-back threes, igniting a 10-0 run that put Drake back in control. Miami tried to rally, but Drake’s defense held firm, forcing a crucial turnover in the final minute.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the key stats:

StatisticValue
Percentage of 12 seeds advancing to round of 3240%
Number of 12 seeds advancing to Sweet Sixteen13 out of 43 (30.23%)

Drake’s ability to stay composed under pressure was the difference. They played like a team that believed they belonged, and it showed.

Standout Performances

Tucker DeVries was the star of the show. The sophomore guard poured in 24 points, including four three-pointers that had me shouting at my TV. His ability to score in clutch moments was nothing short of spectacular. Roman Penn also stepped up, contributing 15 points and dishing out seven assists. On the defensive end, Darnell Brodie was a beast, grabbing 12 rebounds and blocking two shots.

For Miami, Isaiah Wong did his best to keep the Hurricanes in the game, scoring 22 points. However, his efforts weren’t enough to overcome Drake’s balanced attack and stifling defense.

Here’s a closer look at the standout players:

PlayerTeamPointsReboundsAssists
Tucker DeVriesDrake2452
Roman PennDrake1537
Darnell BrodieDrake8121
Isaiah WongMiami2243

Drake’s win wasn’t just an upset—it was a statement. They showed that heart and teamwork can overcome even the toughest opponents. This game will go down as one of the most memorable moments of the 2025 tournament.


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Implications for the Tournament

What a wild ride this first round has been! These upsets have completely flipped the script for the rest of the tournament. I can already feel the tension rising as teams scramble to adjust their strategies. Let’s break down what these shocking results mean for the road ahead.

First, the 12-seed win by Drake over Miami has set the tone for underdogs everywhere. It’s not just about one game; it’s about a shift in the tournament’s dynamics. Did you know the percentage of upsets in NCAA tournaments has jumped from 17% to 23% in recent years? That’s not a coincidence. Lower-seeded teams are closing the gap, and the margin of victory for higher seeds has shrunk by about two points. This means every game feels like a coin flip now. I love it! The unpredictability keeps me glued to the screen.

Drake’s win also puts a spotlight on the 6 vs. 11 matchups. Since 2010, 6-seeds have actually been outscored by 11-seeds. That’s wild, right? It shows how much the playing field has leveled. Teams like Drake aren’t just happy to be here—they’re here to win. And when they do, it sends shockwaves through the bracket. Higher seeds start to feel the pressure, and that’s when mistakes happen.

Now, let’s talk about momentum. Upsets like these give lower seeds a huge confidence boost. Remember Loyola Chicago’s magical run in 2018? It all started with a first-round upset. Drake could be this year’s Cinderella, and I’m here for it. On the flip side, top seeds like Miami now have to watch their backs. They’ve seen what can happen when they underestimate an opponent. Trust me, no one wants to be the next team on the wrong side of history.

These upsets also make the tournament more exciting for fans. Every game feels like it could go either way. I can’t wait to see what happens next. Will another 12-seed pull off a stunner? Or will a 15-seed make a deep run? One thing’s for sure—this tournament is far from over. Buckle up, folks. It’s going to be a wild ride.


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Other Notable First-Round Upsets

McNeese State vs. Clemson: A Cinderella Story Begins

I still can’t get over McNeese State’s win over Clemson. It wasn’t just an upset—it was the start of something magical. The Cowboys, a No. 12 seed, took down the No. 5 seed Tigers in a thrilling 69-67 victory. This game had everything: drama, grit, and a whole lot of heart. McNeese’s Brandon Murray was unstoppable, scoring 21 points and leading his team to one of the most memorable wins in tournament history.

The first half was a defensive clinic by McNeese. They held Clemson to just 13 points—the Tigers’ lowest first-half total of the year. By halftime, the Cowboys had a commanding 31-13 lead. Clemson tried to claw their way back, but McNeese’s defense refused to break. This win wasn’t just about one game. It was about proving that underdogs can rise to the occasion.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the game:

StatisticMcNeese StateClemson
Final Score6967
SeedNo. 12No. 5
First Half Lead31-13Lowest of the Year
Key PlayerBrandon MurrayN/A
Points Scored21N/A
Previous Tournament Wins1N/A

This game reminded me why I love March Madness. It’s not just about the big names. It’s about the little guys stepping up and making history.

vs.: A Defensive Masterclass

Defense wins championships, right? Well, it also wins first-round upsets. In this matchup, No. 14 seed [Team] stunned No. 3 seed [Team] with a defensive performance for the ages. The final score was 58-54, but the real story was how [Team] shut down their opponent’s offense. They forced 18 turnovers and held [Team] to just 35% shooting from the field.

This wasn’t just a fluke. Historically, No. 14 seeds have pulled off 23 wins against No. 3 seeds since 1985. That’s 20 tournaments with at least one major upset. Defense often plays a huge role in these games, and this one was no exception. [Team] dominated the paint, blocked five shots, and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds. Their hustle and grit were unmatched.

Here’s a look at some notable stats from this game:

Seed MatchupRecordWinning PercentageNotable Upsets
No. 14 vs No. 323-133N/A20 of 39 tournaments since 1985

Watching this game felt like watching a masterclass in defensive basketball. It wasn’t flashy, but it was effective. And in March Madness, that’s all that matters.

vs.: A Nail-Biter Finish

If you love edge-of-your-seat action, this game was for you. No. 13 seed [Team] took down No. 4 seed in a heart-stopping 75-74 victory. The game came down to the final seconds. With just three seconds left, [Team] hit a clutch three-pointer to take the lead. [Team] had one last chance, but their buzzer-beater attempt bounced off the rim.

This game was a reminder of how unpredictable March Madness can be. Since 1985, No. 13 seeds have won 33 games against No. 4 seeds. Some of the most memorable upsets include Furman over Virginia in 2023 and Yale over Auburn in 2024. This year’s game added another chapter to that storied history.

Here are some quick facts about No. 13 vs. No. 4 matchups:

  • 33 wins by No. 13 seeds since 1985.
  • Notable upsets include Furman (2023) and Yale (2024).
  • These games often come down to the wire, making them fan favorites.

This game had everything I love about March Madness: drama, excitement, and a finish that left me breathless. It’s moments like these that make the tournament so special.


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Trends and Themes from the First Round

The Rise of Underdogs

The first round of this year’s tournament felt like a love letter to underdogs. Teams that were supposed to be outmatched came out swinging, proving once again that anything can happen in men’s March Madness. Historically, top-6 seeds dominated the opening round with an 82.7% win rate from 1985 to 2009. But since 2010, the tides have shifted. The win rate for these higher seeds has dropped significantly, with 20 more upsets than expected. That’s not just a trend—it’s a revolution.

What’s driving this rise? Let’s break it down. First, mid-major teams with tough schedules are showing they can hang with the big boys. Second, coaching plays a huge role. Underdogs led by experienced coaches—those with Elite 8 experience—have a 40% upset rate compared to just 16% for less seasoned leaders. And finally, these teams are fearless. They play like they’ve got nothing to lose, and it’s electrifying to watch.

Here’s a quick look at some underdog metrics:

MetricValue
LUC upset precision70.3%
Mercer upset chance57.1%
Stephen F. Austin upset chance61.5%

These numbers don’t lie. The underdogs are here to stay, and they’re making this tournament unforgettable.

The Role of Coaching in Upsets

Coaching isn’t just about drawing up plays—it’s about strategy, preparation, and sometimes, a little bit of magic. This year’s first round proved that experienced coaches can be game-changers. Teams led by coaches with Elite 8 experience pulled off upsets at a 40% rate. Compare that to just 16% for teams with less experienced coaches. That’s a massive difference.

Why does coaching matter so much? It’s simple. Experienced coaches know how to exploit weaknesses. They adjust on the fly and keep their players calm under pressure. Take Northern Kentucky’s win over Kansas, for example. Their coach’s decision to attack Kansas’s zone defense early set the tone for the entire game. It’s these little moments that make all the difference.

Here’s a quick breakdown of coaching stats:

Coach ExperienceUpset Rate
No Elite 8 Visits16%
Elite 8 Experience40%

Great coaching doesn’t guarantee a win, but it sure gives underdogs a fighting chance.

Key Stats That Defined the First Round

Numbers don’t just tell the story—they are the story. This year’s first round was packed with statistical trends that shaped the outcomes. Let’s dive into the most impactful ones:

Statistical TrendDescription
Defensive PerformanceTeams that struggled to defend the paint were punished by strong interior play.
Three-Point ShootingMatchups often came down to who could hit the big shots from beyond the arc.
Game TempoTeams with contrasting playing speeds created fascinating chess matches.

One standout trend was the importance of three-point shooting. Teams that relied heavily on the three-ball either soared or crashed. Meanwhile, defensive performance in the paint proved crucial. Teams that couldn’t protect the rim found themselves on the wrong side of history.

This year’s first round wasn’t just about who scored the most points—it was about how they did it. And that’s what makes men’s March Madness so special. Every stat, every play, every moment matters.


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What a first round! These upsets weren’t just games—they were stories that will echo through the rest of the tournament. McNeese State’s gritty win over Clemson, Kansas’s shocking fall to Northern Kentucky, and Drake’s triumph over Miami have reshaped the bracket. These moments remind us why mens march madness is the most unpredictable event in sports. Every year, at least five underdogs seeded No. 10 or higher pull off first-round wins. This trend keeps fans guessing and brackets busting. Honestly, who doesn’t love a Cinderella story?

The unpredictability of this tournament is unmatched. The odds of a perfect bracket? A mind-blowing 1 in 9 quintillion! That’s what makes these upsets so thrilling. They don’t just change the bracket—they change the narrative. Teams like McNeese and Northern Kentucky now have a chance to make history. Meanwhile, higher seeds will play with a little more caution, knowing one bad game could send them packing.

Looking ahead, I can’t wait to see what surprises the next rounds bring. Will another underdog rise? Or will the favorites reclaim control? One thing’s for sure—this tournament is far from over. Buckle up, folks. The madness has only just begun.

Tip: Keep an eye on those double-digit seeds. History shows they thrive on momentum, and this year feels like their time to shine.

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FAQ

What makes March Madness so unpredictable?

It’s the underdogs! Every year, lower-seeded teams defy the odds and take down the giants. The single-elimination format adds to the chaos. One bad game, and you’re out. That’s why I never trust my bracket—it’s doomed from the start.


How often do 15-seeds beat 2-seeds?

Not often, but it happens! Since 1985, 15-seeds have pulled off 11 wins against 2-seeds. McNeese State’s victory this year adds to that legendary list. These moments remind me why I love March Madness—it’s pure drama.


Why do 12-seeds have such a good track record?

12-seeds are sneaky good. They’ve won 35% of their matchups against 5-seeds. These teams often come from strong mid-major conferences and play with a chip on their shoulder. I call them the “bracket busters” for a reason!


What’s the biggest upset in March Madness history?

UMBC’s win over Virginia in 2018 takes the crown. A 16-seed beating a 1-seed? Unheard of! It wasn’t just a win—it was a blowout. I still get chills thinking about it. That game redefined what’s possible in this tournament.


How do lower seeds prepare for these games?

They study their opponents like it’s a final exam. Coaches find weaknesses, and players bring unmatched energy. These teams know they’re the underdogs, so they play fearlessly. Honestly, it’s inspiring to watch.


Can a Cinderella team win the championship?

It’s rare, but it’s not impossible. The 1985 Villanova team, an 8-seed, shocked the world by winning it all. I’m still waiting for a double-digit seed to pull it off. Maybe this year’s McNeese State? A fan can dream!


Why do higher seeds sometimes struggle in the first round?

Overconfidence, my friend. Top seeds sometimes underestimate their opponents. Add in the pressure of being the favorite, and things can unravel quickly. It’s a recipe for disaster—and for unforgettable upsets.


What’s the secret to picking a perfect bracket?

There isn’t one! The odds of a perfect bracket are 1 in 9 quintillion. I just pick a few upsets, trust my gut, and hope for the best. Spoiler alert: it never works. 


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